Based on the book I am reading, The Wisdom of Crowds, I believe that the Hollywood Stock Exchange will predict every single Oscar winner accurately.
Best Picture – Brokeback Mountain
Best Director – Ang Lee for Brokeback Mountain
Best Actor – Philip Seymour Hoffman in Capote
Best Actress – Reese Witherspoon in Walk the Line
Best Supporting Actor – George Clooney in Syriana
Best Supporting Actress – Rachel Weisz in The Constant Gardener
Best Original Screenplay – Crash
Best Adapted Screenplay – Brokeback Mountain
Most Awards Total – Brokeback Mountain
These are the winners. Using markets like this can actually predict a wide variety of things. It is scary if used properly.
Whatya think?