2025 Predictions

I always find it cathartic to review the year and make 10 predictions for the next year. Also, I look back at 2024 and see how accurate my predictions were.

2024 Prediction Grade: 60%

  1. ❌ Biden wins 😭
  2. ✅Adam Schiff wins
  3. ✅More electric cars available.
  4. ✅Ukraine holds on
  5. ✅China does not invade Taiwan, but makes life miserable for many people.
  6. ✅Bitcoin goes up.(predict 50k – but actually is 100k!!!) 😲
  7. ❌Twitter (X) goes bankrupt. Maybe next year.
  8. ✅Threads from Facebook does not take off. I am hoping BlueSky opens up more.
  9. ❌Tennis rating bumped to 4.5. Nope, still 4.0
  10. ❌Draymond Green is traded to another NBA team. (I picked the wrong guy)

2024 was a tumultuous year, especially in politics. At work, things have been good, but also filled with twists and turns.

I have started reducing my news intake, the same way I did in 2016-2020. I remember how exhausting it was watching Trump act crazy every single day. Remember when he just drew a circle on a map with a sharpie? It seems quaint now.

2025 Predictions

This year seems harder to predict than any other I can remember. There is so much anxiety and uncertainty. It really can go in many different ways. At the risk of wild naiveté, I am going to take an optimist point of view. I could be doom and gloom, but I think it just makes me unhappy to think that way. Here are predictions:

  1. Trump does not successfully impose martial law or imprison leaders of the democratic party en masse. This may be wishful predicting, but I think the recent events in South Korea give me hope.
    • So World War III will not happen. 🤞🙏
    • Civilization will not collapse
    • Great depression will not re-occur
    • California will not secede from the union *See note below
    • However, the policies passed by the federal government will be odious for sure.
    • Also school shootings and police killings of young black men will sadly hit record highs.
  2. Twitter continues to die, Bluesky will have a solid year. I think they will slowly take twitter market share.
  3. Warriors make the playoffs and lose in the quarter finals.
  4. Stock Market – Based on republican deregulation plans, I expect record profits at the expense of consumers.
    • Nasdaq currently at 20k. In a year, I predict 23k.
    • Dow Jones at 44k. In a year, I predict 49k.
    • Bitcoin currently at 104k.In a year predict 140k Mainly I say this because of all the cryptobros in the new administration. This could be even higher.
  5. Climate change will continue it’s trend of getting worse and worse every single year. Duh.
  6. Google and Meta will have serious anti-trust attacks from the DOJ. However, it will be mired in the courts and not go anywhere.
  7. Elon Musk will use his influence and money to get the federal government to do things that personally enrich himself. I predict the government will give a big lucrative contract to SpaceX, Tesla, The Boring Company, and StarLink.
  8. In a year, I would like to have a new dog, but I predict it doesnt happen.
  9. I start going to the gym on a regular basis to strengthen my joints and improve flexibility. Hopefully, I don’t lose focus.
  10. I’ve been predicting new battery technology for a decade. This is not going to be the year of the 1000 mile affordable electric car.

Note: Interestingly, if you google search “California secession”, one website is YesCalifornia. It was founded in 2015 by Louis J. Marinelli, a right-wing political activist, and its efforts have been supported by the Russian government. We live in dangeous and complicated times.

Well, there we go. So much uncertainty. So much anxiety. I am hoping for the best. To everyone out there, Happy Holidays and I hope your 2025 is prosperous, enjoyable, and filled with health and good experiences!

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