I always find it cathartic to review the year and make 10 predictions for the next year. Also, I look back at 2024 and see how accurate my predictions were.
2024 Prediction Grade: 60%
- ❌ Biden wins 😭
- ✅Adam Schiff wins
- ✅More electric cars available.
- ✅Ukraine holds on
- ✅China does not invade Taiwan, but makes life miserable for many people.
- ✅Bitcoin goes up.(predict 50k – but actually is 100k!!!) 😲
- ❌Twitter (X) goes bankrupt. Maybe next year.
- ✅Threads from Facebook does not take off. I am hoping BlueSky opens up more.
- ❌Tennis rating bumped to 4.5. Nope, still 4.0
- ❌Draymond Green is traded to another NBA team. (I picked the wrong guy)
2024 was a tumultuous year, especially in politics. At work, things have been good, but also filled with twists and turns.
I have started reducing my news intake, the same way I did in 2016-2020. I remember how exhausting it was watching Trump act crazy every single day. Remember when he just drew a circle on a map with a sharpie? It seems quaint now.
2025 Predictions
This year seems harder to predict than any other I can remember. There is so much anxiety and uncertainty. It really can go in many different ways. At the risk of wild naiveté, I am going to take an optimist point of view. I could be doom and gloom, but I think it just makes me unhappy to think that way. Here are predictions:
- Trump does not successfully impose martial law or imprison leaders of the democratic party en masse. This may be wishful predicting, but I think the recent events in South Korea give me hope.
- So World War III will not happen. 🤞🙏
- Civilization will not collapse
- Great depression will not re-occur
- California will not secede from the union *See note below
- However, the policies passed by the federal government will be odious for sure.
- Also school shootings and police killings of young black men will sadly hit record highs.
- Twitter continues to die, Bluesky will have a solid year. I think they will slowly take twitter market share.
- Warriors make the playoffs and lose in the quarter finals.
- Stock Market – Based on republican deregulation plans, I expect record profits at the expense of consumers.
- Nasdaq currently at 20k. In a year, I predict 23k.
- Dow Jones at 44k. In a year, I predict 49k.
- Bitcoin currently at 104k.In a year predict 140k Mainly I say this because of all the cryptobros in the new administration. This could be even higher.
- Climate change will continue it’s trend of getting worse and worse every single year. Duh.
- Google and Meta will have serious anti-trust attacks from the DOJ. However, it will be mired in the courts and not go anywhere.
- Elon Musk will use his influence and money to get the federal government to do things that personally enrich himself. I predict the government will give a big lucrative contract to SpaceX, Tesla, The Boring Company, and StarLink.
- In a year, I would like to have a new dog, but I predict it doesnt happen.
- I start going to the gym on a regular basis to strengthen my joints and improve flexibility. Hopefully, I don’t lose focus.
- I’ve been predicting new battery technology for a decade. This is not going to be the year of the 1000 mile affordable electric car.
Note: Interestingly, if you google search “California secession”, one website is YesCalifornia. It was founded in 2015 by Louis J. Marinelli, a right-wing political activist, and its efforts have been supported by the Russian government. We live in dangeous and complicated times.
Well, there we go. So much uncertainty. So much anxiety. I am hoping for the best. To everyone out there, Happy Holidays and I hope your 2025 is prosperous, enjoyable, and filled with health and good experiences!
Whatya think?